Starting in early March 2020
business in the United States changed dramatically. We have gone from low-employment and a robust
economy to a work environment where 30+ million Americans have filed for
unemployment insurance over the past 7 weeks and those that have jobs are
working remotely. Congress has addressed
this issue by offering workers expanded unemployment insurance and for
businesses; grants, payroll protection programs and low-interest loans which
can be forgiven under specific circumstances.
More support from Congress is planned for the future. While Federal support is critical for the
economy, the States are also offering programs to help their citizens
Given all of these changes
what will happen to the American worker when we are finally able to return to
normal. I would suggest that we will
never return to “normal” but rather there will be changes in how we work in the
near term along with long-term challenges.
Short Term Changes
The short term effects of COVID-19 may include
some of these challenges:
§ Office
workers will not be following the normal 8 to 5 work schedule but rather a more
flexible schedule will need to be adopted by companies, not-for-profits, and
governmental institutions. Employees
will work in modified shifts which will stagger their hours to ensure social
distancing. Testing for COVID-19 will be
administered on a weekly basis and this cost will be a burden shared by the
employer and government.
§ Office
workspaces will need to be modified to ensure that physical distancing between
employees and customers is adhered to and that barriers to physical employee
inter-action will need to be constructed.
Certificates will be given to those employees that have acquired
COVID-19 anti-bodies which will ultimately be their passport to avoid future testing.
§ Manufacturing,
production, and line employees will need to adhere to the social distancing
guidelines which could mean that production may not be at peak for the near
future. Protective gear will need to be
assigned to employees and replaced on a frequent basis. Testing for COVID-19 will be administered on
a daily basis and this cost will be a burden shared by both the employer and
government. Similar to office workers certificates
will be given to those employees that have acquired COVID-19 anti-bodies which will
ultimately be their passport to avoid daily testing.
§ For
those employees where working remotely is an option, companies will encourage
staff to set-up home offices. They will
only be required to visit their physical office on a very infrequent
basis. This will create significant
challenges for management to hold employees accountable to verify that performance
and productivity standards are maintained.
§ Technology
will become even more important as a tool to maintain the communication
channels between the leadership team and rank-and-file employees. Video conferencing will be the future of most
meetings and serve as the key communication tool.
Long Term Challenges
The long term effects of COVID-19 may include
some of these challenges:
§
Less
office space requirements will depress the commercial real estate market and the
result will be a declining inner-city.
City versus suburban infrastructure financial resources will put
pressure on the HR professional as additional unemployment in this industry
will occur. A perfect example is retail space
in shopping centers and the potential bankruptcies of big retail companies.
§
Management
will need to develop tools to keep employees appraised of the company strategy,
successes, and challenges through nontraditional means. The days of “all-hands meetings” are over. Conferences and large professional events maybe
eliminated until a vaccine is developed.
§
While
working from home worker injuries will need to be evaluated and policies
developed to ensure that workers and the employer are both protected.
§
Employee
communication while always difficult will need to be further enhanced to ensure
that managers are successfully supervising their staff to guarantee that they
have the tools to be successful.
§ High
unemployment will be a significant challenge for the future with many people
looking for work in industries that no longer exist. Examples include retail, restaurants,
hospitality, and travel. Until a vaccine
is developed and widely distributed, human psychology would suggest that these
types of industries will not bounce back quickly. People are scared and do not want to put
their health at risk by shopping, going out for dinner, going to a hotel, or boarding
an airplane. Companies will play a key role
in supporting these former employees through outplacement services and
technical training.
While the challenges of
COVID-19 are many, human ingenuity and resourcefulness has not changed and
there will be a vaccine which will protect all of us. The key question is how long will it take to
develop and what intervening factors will change how we work in the future
between now and then?
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